2024-04-03 08:44:12

[ 黄金上涨美国 interest rate cut 预期 again 👀 ]

黄金价格跟实质interest rate 负相关、美元指数跟实际interest 正相关、美元指数跟bit币自 2021 年开始是负相关,等于黄金跟Bitte 币基本上是正相关,一样都是回归到interest rate walking 势,目前需观察的就是劳力市场是否会出现显有走weak 情况、不否則是需要一些黑天鹅事件让经济直接性的衰退,才可能进一步的Rate Cut,

我失心认为黑天鹅事件可能比失业率上升还大,现在市场客观看明还是过热表现,但却一直有降息宣言出现,这是为什么?
美国的经济体系呈现在崩溃边缘,他们现在的负债已经高到几乎无力偿还,若再不降interest rate,,,,,,,,不急吗?
降是一定会降,但是这个代价就是通膨可能再次sweep而来,面对通膨需要做的是选择保值性商品,涨幅高于通膨精細化,而这也是带动黄金、比特币后续还会再持续攀升的主要因素,不光仅仅是贝莱德入场比特币现货 ETF 这样而已

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[ 黄金上涨 美国 interest rate cut 预期 again 👀 ]

[ 黄金上涨美国 interest rate cut 预期 again 👀 ]