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Don't get caught up in whether your altcoin holdings can rise 10 times, because most altcoins can't rise 10 times.


Many people are now seeing altcoins rise and casually talk about making 10 or 20 times their investment, mentioning how things were in the last bull market, and saying that they missed out for various reasons or didn't hold on. They wonder what would have happened if they had held on. They ask for recommendations on 10x coins and insist they will hold on this time. I really laugh at this, as they try to apply last round's experiences to this round. You won't end up losing everything? What I want to say is that in any industry, there is a period of dividends followed by a saturation period, and these are unavoidable.
Looking back at each round of BTC bull and bear markets, we can see it clearly. In the bull market of 2017, the peak was 19k, and after dropping to 3k during the bear market, the bull market started in 2020, reaching a peak of 69k in 2021. This was more than 20 times up from the bear market bottom of 3k, and about 3.6 times from the previous high of 19k. Now looking at this round, if 15k is the bear market low, the bull market peak is generally viewed to be around 150k-200k, which is more than 10 times up from the bear market bottom. If we calculate from the previous high of 69k, it’s over 3 times up. So what about the next round? The specific price increase is unknown, but a lower rise than this round is highly likely.
The same principle applies to altcoins. In the bull market of 2017, hundredfold coins were everywhere, and tenfold coins were as numerous as the hairs on a cow. In the bull market of 2021, hundredfold coins were relatively scarce, while tenfold coins were more common. Therefore, in this round of the bull market, it is reasonable for excellent altcoins to rise tenfold, while garbage altcoins may rise 2 to 3 times. Don’t think that you can buy Hippo moodeng; most people, even if they manage to buy it, wouldn't dare to invest heavily.
In "Das Kapital," there is a term called low-hanging fruit.
It is the literal meaning.
Any market/industry is like an apple tree.
The tree is laden with apples, hanging down.
At the beginning, everyone could reach the low-hanging fruit and pick one with just a stretch.
Slowly, the fruits below were all picked by people.
Slowly, the fruits in the middle were picked clean, leaving only those at the top of the tree.
You need to be able to climb up to reach it, but even fewer can climb trees.
Low-hanging fruit, called the dividend period, everyone has the opportunity to reach an apple; only low-hanging fruit belongs to ordinary people's opportunity.
The fruits at the top of the tree do not belong to ordinary people, but to geniuses.
Face reality, do not fantasize. #4月CPI数据公布#
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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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LivermoreCvip
· 16h ago
act
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Mr.Zhangvip
· 17h ago
Even if it rises ten times, most people can't handle it psychologically; they are all profit-driven, fearing a plummet, and will sell at the slightest rise.
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RetirementThirteenvip
· 17h ago
Do you think that if it rises ten times, someone will make ten times the profit? How many people repeatedly enter a position and get out of positions in the meantime? Have you thought about this issue?
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