The Success Path of the On-Chain Trading Strategy Expert, Coin Brother

Sabaige is a pioneer in the field of data-driven trading on the blockchain. He entered the cryptocurrency space in 2017 and previously worked in the listing department of an exchange, focusing on on-chain data analysis and in-depth project due diligence. This experience laid a solid foundation for his data analysis skills and industry understanding.

In 2022, the Coin Brother began his own entrepreneurship. He keenly observed the rise of Memecoin trading and quickly adjusted his direction, focusing his strategy on on-chain trading and data-driven investment decisions. He and his team developed various analytical tools and trading bots to monitor on-chain address movements and generate trading signals.

The trading strategy of the "Sowing Coin Brother" has distinct characteristics: it does not focus on narrative valuation but instead concentrates on on-chain monitoring and strict stop-loss rules. He emphasizes that by setting clear stop-loss strategies, trading can be freed from the interference of subjective emotions.

His trading logic has undergone continuous optimization. From focusing on the trading behavior of smart money on the chain, to team trading behaviors, and then to the key main address behaviors of individual tokens. Through in-depth analysis of these on-chain activities, he continuously enhances the accuracy of his trading decisions.

Currently, the main holdings of Sa Bi Ge include BTC, ETH, and SOL. Recently, the outstanding performance of Moodeng has become an important milestone for him: achieving a 5000-fold return in a short period. The true value of Moodeng lies in validating the effectiveness of its data-driven strategy. By tracking the on-chain behavior of Moodeng's main addresses, he has confirmed the trading theory of "following the main players".

Data and Discipline: The Key to Successful Trading

Satoshi emphasizes the standardized strategy of "doubling out of the principal and cutting losses at half", which is the core of his risk management. This strategy avoids market emotional interference with clear rules and verifies the feasibility of positive expected value through mathematical models.

In trading, you only need to maintain a win rate of over 33% to achieve a positive EV. For example:

• Stop-loss scenario: Sell all after assets double, achieving 100% profit.
• Stop-loss situation: Sell all after the asset is halved, resulting in a 50% loss.

Based on the above assumptions, when the win rate reaches or exceeds 33%, the long-term returns for traders will show positive growth. The strategy of the "撒幣哥" is based on probabilities, focusing on maintaining a stable mindset and avoiding fluctuations in trading decisions due to short-term market volatility.

At the same time, the Sabi哥 team has developed a series of tools, data-centric, to provide users with deep insights into market trends and major player behaviors:

Token Insider Analysis

Analyze the holding structure and address behavior of tokens through big data. Its core functions include:

• Main Force Behavior Identification: Filter out addresses with transfer associations or collective trading characteristics, categorizing them as "gang" or "main force cluster."
• Snapshot and Trend Analysis: Qualitative and quantitative assessment of the token's holding concentration to identify whether the main force is accumulating.
• Behavior Model Optimization: Combining the transfer behavior of addresses and the trend of on-chain fund flows to form precise predictions of major operations.

FOMO CALL signal

This is a real-time trading signal tool developed based on a database of thousands of smart money addresses accumulated by the team. When a group of historically high-performing addresses collectively buys a certain token in a short period of time in the market, FOMO CALL will issue a signal. This signal helps users quickly capture market hotspots and determine whether the token has potential short-term upward space.

These tools provide users with a complete trading support system. For example, when the token insider analysis tool shows that the main capital accumulation level of a certain token has reached a peak, while the FOMO CALL signal captures the collective buying behavior of several smart money players, this usually indicates that the token may become a market hotspot. Users can establish positions and track trends based on the data provided by the tools, combined with strategies of doubling their investment and setting stop-loss limits.

Data Strategy for Capturing Main Force Trends

In the cryptocurrency market, the main force profits through accumulation and distribution, and during this process, on-chain holding behavior will inevitably change. The core of trading strategy lies in how to capture the behavior patterns of the main force through data. For example, during the accumulation period, the main force will exhibit specific on-chain behaviors that can be aggregated and transformed into trading signals.

However, as more people adopt similar strategies, the main players may adjust their strategies or even hide their actions. Therefore, the effectiveness of trading strategies needs to be continuously adjusted and optimized to identify the potential hidden behaviors of the main players. The "Coin Sprinkler" believes that this is an ongoing game, and a dynamically optimized monitoring model is key to the long-term effectiveness of the strategy.

The strategy of the Coin Brother starts with tracking "smart money," which typically achieves over 40% win rates in the market and realizes significant returns. By using tools to filter out these addresses, he and his team established their own DAO and monitoring list, continuously monitoring a group of high-performing address clusters.

The core methods of the strategy include:

• Identify Collective Actions: Team monitoring has found that certain address clusters operate synchronously, including collective accumulation and distribution behaviors. This pattern becomes the foundation of the strategy.
• Position Control: When following the main force, avoid entering the top 100 positions list to maintain a low profile, in order to not affect the main force's trading rhythm. Typically, the buying position should not exceed 0.5% of the market value of the token.
• Signal Response: When clusters in the monitoring list collectively enter a certain token, the strategy follows up with small exploratory amounts to avoid prematurely exposing its own actions.

Moodeng trading case

The successful transaction of Moodeng is an important milestone for the Sabi Ge team. In September 2024, the team monitored a large-scale entry of a long-performing address cluster into Moodeng, and quickly started accumulating. Based on the main force's previous trading methods, the team maintained small purchases and gradually followed up.

During the trading process, the main players test the market's buying and selling sentiment through multiple rises and pullbacks, while ensuring that the concentration of chips is not diluted. The撒币哥 monitors the changes in the holding ratios of these main addresses in real time and finds that the main players will acquire chips again after each pullback. This phenomenon has strengthened the team's bullish confidence in Moodeng.

In the end, Moodeng rose from an initial small market capitalization to hundreds of millions, and the team not only achieved high profits but also validated the trading theory of "following the main force" through this process.

Seize the Capital Rotation Opportunities in the Cryptocurrency Market

The cyclical changes in the cryptocurrency market have a significant impact on the execution of trading strategies. From a macro perspective, the focus of capital at different periods may vary.

Mainstream Coin Rotation: Funds may concentrate on mainstream assets such as BTC and ETH, during which on-chain liquidity is scarce and trading volume is low.

Emerging Public Chains and Hotspot Switching: Ecological hotspots will switch between public chains, such as the recent transition from ETH to Base, BSC, and then to Solana. Solana has become a breeding ground for high-frequency trading and innovative projects due to its high TPS and low Gas fees.

Meme Track and Narrative Shift: In more segmented tracks, such as meme tokens, funds may also rotate due to updates in launchpads or changes in narratives. For example, from the high-frequency PVP market of Solana to new projects on the Base chain, the focus of market funds is constantly shifting.

Through on-chain data tools, the Sabi Brother team monitors on-chain transaction volume and capital flow in real-time to assist in decision-making. For example, recent capital rotation indicates that the virtual economy on emerging chains (such as AI Agent, Virtuals) has become a hotspot, which suggests that the team needs to adjust their positions in a timely manner to follow the capital trends.

The Importance of Staying Calm and Disciplined

Bull markets provide a lot of opportunities, but they also come with high risks. In such markets, it is especially important to maintain calm and discipline:

Independent Judgment: Sa Bi Ge emphasizes that trading should be centered around a verification strategy rather than catering to market sentiment. He points out that the emotional fluctuations during a bull market can easily lead traders to be misled by the "eternal bull market" narrative, resulting in excessive optimism.

Take Profits at the Right Time: One major trap in a bull market is "reluctance to sell." Even when the market rises, taking some profits is key to maintaining a long-term advantage. Even if you miss out on higher price points, controlling risk always takes precedence over chasing higher returns.

Support for Stable Cash Flow: Cash flow is the anchor for calm trading. By obtaining stable cash flow through core business operations or quantitative funds, dependence on short-term market fluctuations can be reduced, making trading more composed.

In a bull market, traders often face anxiety, which can include: fear of missing out on opportunities, returns not meeting expectations, and psychological fluctuations caused by short-term pullbacks. In response, Coin撒币哥 also shared his coping strategies:

Focus on Trading Framework: Trades outside the framework, even if profitable, are not considered successful. The core of trading is to validate strategies and refine understanding, rather than to achieve momentary gains.

Create an Environment for Calm Communication: Avoid being disturbed by emotional signals and maintain communication with calm and rational trading partners. Especially in a bull market, overheated emotions can easily lead to irrational decisions.

Remember the cyclical nature of the market: Coin Brother points out that a bull market is not "eternal," but rather a cycle where opportunities and risks coexist. Even with strong bullish sentiment, one must be wary of risks, especially when there is only a single narrative in the market without clear supporting logic.

Methods to Quickly Enhance Cognitive Levels

Sabi Ge believes that the core of personal growth lies in upgrading one's circle. Communicating with people of high cognition can significantly accelerate one's cognitive iteration. He emphasizes that breaking through the social comfort zone and actively interacting with outstanding individuals is an important way to improve oneself.

In the process of trading and entrepreneurship, he continuously learns from the successful experiences and methods of others to find his own breakthrough points. The influence of communication with others is subtle yet profound. The actions and results of successful individuals around him can inspire him to think and further optimize his own path. He advocates for "upward socializing" to discover more possibilities by interacting with better people.

He also mentioned that "Rich Dad Poor Dad" is a book that has had a profound impact on his financial thinking. This book emphasizes the concept of the four quadrants of wealth, teaching him to think about wealth management from the perspective of "making money work for you." He noted that this book breaks the traditional education idea of "a stable job" and inspired him to explore the possibilities of entrepreneurship and investment.

In addition to books, his progress is also attributed to other sources of knowledge. For example:

1. On-Chain Analysis KOL

• Ai Yi: Focused on on-chain data analysis, providing in-depth market insights.
• Mr. Mai: Explains the logic of the main force's behavior from another perspective based on market behavior and human nature analysis.

2. Social Media and Community: Quickly capture market trends by following active traders on Twitter and Telegram, and discuss new tracks and business opportunities with team members.

In addition, CoinSprinkler believes that the integration of knowledge between Web2 and Web3 is an important direction for the future. He and his team often study business cases in Web2, exploring how to replicate successful models in Web3. This cross-disciplinary thinking keeps him ahead in the exploration of new tracks.

Summary and Recommendations

Data-Driven and Continuous Optimization: Data-driven trading strategies have been validated as feasible in practice, but require continuous dynamic tuning. Furthermore, whether it's the rotation of on-chain hotspots or the switching of narrative tracks, sensitivity and adaptability must be maintained.

Patience and Discipline: Successful trading relies not only on strategy but also on a stable mindset. Whether in a bull market or a bear market, following trading rules and maintaining independent judgment are essential to gaining a long-term advantage.

Establishing a Foundation of Awareness and Cash Flow: With stable cash flow as a foundation, traders can face market fluctuations with a more composed attitude. By "continuous learning" and "upgrading circles," keep oneself at the forefront of knowledge.